Misplaced Priorities

I was listening to a story on NPR this morning about the financial crisis in California. Their state budget gap is $24 billion and as usual, kids and the truly needy among us will be the hardest hit. In these situations, the government ends up making decisions that are pennywise and pound foolish.

For example, California is considering closing its poison control center for a savings of $6 million. The center gets over 2,000 calls per day, mostly from parents, concerned about something their child just ingested. Most calls end with simple wait and see or do it-yourself advice. Without this service, ALL of these parents will likely end up in an emergency room somewhere at a HUGE cost to parents and society. The government saves $1 on one side of the equation and the citizens will spend $20 on the other.

In the midst of this fiscal crisis, what really irks me is the 10,000Lb gorilla that no one ever discusses: Our insane military budget. We spend over $1 trillion per year on “defense”. Global military spending hit a record high in 2008, led by the US. Our annual military spending is roughly equal to the rest of the world combined, while the US and its close allies account for 2/3 of global military spending. No wonder we don’t have money for anything else.

One of my saddest days as an adult was at a tax update class for CPAs back in the 80s. It was sad because at the time, I didn’t have the guts to speak up. I was young and there were 40-50 other CPAs in the class. The instructor was giving an update about the fiscal situation in Washington DC and said something to the effect that there was no funding available for any domestic needs because the government was broke. I remember thinking how dishonest all of us were accepting this pathetic nonsense. All of were financial experts. The government had plenty of money but was spending half of all our funds on weapons and war. The same is true today.

It is time for us to speak up about this awful waste. No one disputes the need for a strong defense but we could do that with ½ the budget freeing up $500 billion annually for domestic services. Maybe a little of that can keep California’s poison control center open.

Classes for CPAs and business advisors

During May and June I will be teaching two classes which will qualify for Continuing Professional Education (CPE) credits for CPAs:  

• Sustainability for CPAs: What it means to you, your clients and the profession
• Advising the Startup Business

Both courses will qualify for 4 hours of CPE.  The classes will be offered in Portland and Lake Oswego.  The CPE sponsor is BrownBagCPE, a local group that provides live and affordable CPE in Oregon and SW Washington.

The feedback from the Sustainability Course has been outstanding.  Please contact me if you would like more information or have an interest in having this class taught in your area.

Economic bubbles

The cornerstone of the CPA profession is independence, integrity and objectivity.  I wish I could tell you that our financial system was going to be okay and that President Obama and our elected and appointed leaders in Washington were going to save the day.  Unfortunately, I'm highly skeptical and I have obligations to my friends, clients, family and readers to share my concerns.  Your future depends on understanding these matters.

Economic bubbles exists when asset price inflation rises beyond what income can sustain.  The ride up a bubble is exhilarating as everyone thinks they've found a fountain of gold and the ride down is devastating, as the economic system collapses and the artificially inflated values people assigned to certain assets retreat to their actual value.

One of the most famous bubbles was the Dutch tulip mania that peaked in 1637.  On the run up, people actually believed a single bulb was worth more than a house.  

We've actually experienced two bubbles in the past ten years (dot.com and housing).  These were partially fueled by cheap credit (corporate, governmental, private).

Ludwig Von Mises (1881-1973), an influential Austrian Economist wrote:

“There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion.

The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.”

If this is true, current government actions to expand credit (print a $Trillion and get banks lending again) will ultimately lead to the collapse of the US currency.  A collapse occurs when people no longer have confidence in a fiat currency. Historically, thousands of currencies have collapsed.  Given time, is it possible that they all will? 

It would be unfair to freak you out without providing a solution.  The first step is to get educated and then to take action.  Two items I'm imploring you to read/watch are 

1. Chris Martenson's Crash Course.  The first sentence on the home page reads, "Ready to learn everything you need to know about the economy in the shortest amount of time?"  
2. David Korten's Agenda for a New Economy: From Phantom Wealth to Real Wealth

I'm on Chapter 17 of the 20-Chapter Crash Course, and I'm in Section 2 of Korten's book.